As was the case last year, second base looks to
be a deeper position than in years past. There really isn’t
that much of a discrepancy between the second group of 2nd basemen
and the lower ranks. There are a few standouts at the position,
but after the first three or four, one can wait for a second baseman
and still receive reasonable value later in the draft.
For the second year in a row, Chase Utley headlines
the second baseman fantasy baseball rankings on RotoKingdom.net.
Utley was a consensus pick despite missing a month with a broken
hand a season ago. The Phillies second baseman obliterated his
previous career high in batting average by 23 points when he hit
.332 last year. Utley also set career highs in on base and slugging
percentages. An MVP award may have been Utley’s to lose
had he remained healthy all season. Utley projects to be a mid-to-late
1st round draft pick in a normal sized league. He was ranked eighth
overall on our player ranking list and was taken with the twelfth
pick in our mock draft. Look for another monstrous year from the
second baseman. A career high in RBI should be a strong possibility,
with a batting average around .315, 110 runs scored, 30 home runs,
and 10-15 stolen bases.
Checking in at number two in our rankings is Brandon
Phillips. The Cincinnati Reds second baseman had a breakout season
in 2007. The youngster established career highs across the board
and posted an extremely rare 30 home run/30 stolen base season
from a second baseman. While it’s hard to imagine Phillips
repeating his numbers of a season ago, he still projects as a
mid second round pick.
B.J. Upton is another young second baseman who
had a breakout year in 2007. The Tampa Bay Devil Ray had an impressive
line in which he hit .300, had 86 runs scored, hit 24 home runs,
had 82 runs batted in, and stole 22 bases. Upton was the first
Devil Ray to hit for 20 home runs and steal 20 bases in the franchise's
history. He also offers his owners additional flexibility after
logging 78 games in centerfield a season ago. Upton is another
second baseman deserving of selection in the first three rounds.
Sliding into the ranks at number four is Oriole
Brian Roberts. The Baltimore second baseman shattered a previous
career high of 36 when he stole 50 bases last year. The speedster
also set career highs in hits and walks in 2007. Roberts seems
destined to leave the Orioles as they look to trade him and rebuild.
If Roberts is dealt, there will be some implications on his fantasy
value, but he should remain a solid pick wherever he lands. Roberts
was drafted with the 38th pick in our mock draft and checked in
at number 41 on our overall rankings.
The next group of second basemen includes Robinson
Cano, Chone Figgins, Ian Kinsler, and Rickie Weeks. While these
men are easily considered the best at their position after the
first four we covered, is there really a big difference between
the statistics they produce and players that you could find in
the waning rounds of a draft? The answer is no.
Ian Kinsler, for example, is rated anywhere from
fifth to eighth among our experts. He’s a very solid youngster
who should be quite productive. He could easily threaten to produce
another 20 home run/20 stolen base season. I actually have the
Ranger projected just below that, but I also think he will hit
nearly 20 points higher than a season ago. A reasonable projected
line for Kinsler is a .282 batting average, 89 runs scored, 19
home runs, 66 runs batted in, and 19 stolen bases. Another example:
Tadahito Iguchi is a similar player you could get much later in
deeper leagues and very likely with the last pick of a draft in
a normal sized league. One can expect Iguchi to hit around .271,
with 78 runs scored, 14 home runs, 59 runs batted in, and 13 stolen
bases. We have Kinsler rated 74 on our overall rankings, and he
was taken at the 89th pick in our mock draft. Iguchi was undrafted
entirely and not listed in our overall rankings.
Just look at the difference between Robinson Cano
and Freddy Sanchez. Cano is our fifth rated second baseman with
votes ranging from second to ninth. Freddy Sanchez is rated 21st
with votes ranging from 17th to 28th. It’s very possible
for the Yankee to lead all second basemen in batting average,
hitting, and post a line of .324, 80 runs scored, 16 home runs,
81 runs batted in, and 3 stolen bases. Cano is rated 54 on our
overall rankings and was taken 47th in our mock draft. Freddy
Sanchez was unranked and undrafted despite winning a batting title
just two years ago. While Sanchez is definitely missing some of
Cano’s home run power, he has a fairly similar line otherwise.
A modest projection would be for Sanchez to hit .315, with 72
runs scored, 7 home runs, 67 runs batted in, and two stolen bases.
While Cano is undoubtedly the more talented of the two, playing
in New York instead of Pittsburgh might help inflate his perceived
value. You can see Cano’s line isn’t all that much
more impressive than Sanchez.
Outside of the top 8 at the position, you might
look for a category killer. If you want a home run hitter, try
Dan Uggla, Jeff Kent or Ray Durham for those in deep leagues.
For speed, try Kazuo Matsui, Ryan Theriot or Luis Castillo. If
you want average, Howie Kendrick, Placido Polanco and Sanchez
will fit the bill.
Second base is one area where if you don’t
land one of the top players, you can easily find someone that
will fit into your team strategy. If you have a favorite among
the second group, please feel free to grab them in the middle
rounds, but you may not be gaining a whole lot of production.
By drafting a second-tier player, you are receiving someone with
a lot of upside. So you would not want to completely ignore the
position as you would second-rate catchers.
For those of you in the normal-sized leagues,
please remember these three things:
1. Utley is a mid-to-late first round pick, but
second base is much deeper than years past. Phillips is a mid-second
round pick, and Upton is worth grabbing if he’s still sitting
on the board during the third round.
2. If you want a second-group 2nd baseman -- take
one. But don’t waste a pick just to take the best player
left at a position. Keep in mind that you can still get a similarly-valued
player in the waning rounds of the draft.
3. Finally, remember that second base is deep.
Draft a player who will fit into your team strategy whether that
is the best player available or a category killer.
Well, we hope you liked this year’s preview
of the second basemen. For all of your baseball questions, comments
and concerns, please visit our baseball forums, where some of
the best fantasy baseball minds in the business reside on a full-time
basis.
- Jason Aufderhaar– RotoKingdom Staff
Writer