This past season was an intriguing one at the catcher
position. While there are certainly some reliable faces in this
years ranking it’s easy to see a changing of the guard is
upon us. As was the case last year catcher is the weakest fantasy
position in baseball again this season. Last year we emphasized
to not look at the raw stats and the benefits of not completely
ignoring the position. However, in 2008 it may be vital to your
strategy to take a top tier catcher, as there is a greater drop
off in talent from the upper echelon backstops. If you don’t
land a top tier catcher in normal sized leagues I recommend holding
off until you have selected all of your other starters or even waiting
until the final rounds of the draft before selecting one.
Sitting at the top of RotoKingdom’s 2008 rankings we have
Victor Martinez and Russell Martin. Martinez is definitely the
safest pick remaining fairly steady over the past few years as
he lead all catchers in runs batted in with 114. That total was
22 runs batted in higher than the second closest catcher and it
was the fourth year in a row that Martinez lead all major league
catchers in the category. He clearly offers the most value at
the catcher position this season according to our experts. Martinez
also has some additional flexibility with his eligibility at first
base. The Indians backstop was the first catcher off the board
in our mock selected at pick 27 in the third round by the reigning
Die Hard II Champion Mike Venancio. Russell Martin was also selected
in the third round at pick 34 by our former baseball team leader
Derrick Boyd in this years RotoKingdom mock draft. Martin burst
onto the scene in 2007 when he hit .293, with 19 home runs, 87
runs scored, 87 runs batted in, and stole 21 bases. While one
can reasonably expect Martin to get a few less at bats this season
you can expect a line pretty similar to last year.
Checking in at the third spot of this year’s rankings is
Joe Mauer who was the top rated preseason catcher of a season
ago. Mauer had an injury-plagued season that led to production
well below expectations, but his all-around abilities & potential
keep him in the top tier. Baseball moderator Bruce Quinto at pick
65 in our mock draft selected the Minnesota backstop. Brian McCann
was the next catcher taken at pick 77 by fantasy expert Seth Buehnerkemper.
The young Braves catcher had a seemingly quiet, but productive
season in 2007. While McCann did not hit .330 plus and contend
for a batting crown like he did in 2006, he still hit 18 home
runs and had 92 runs batted in. The runs batted in total was second
only to Victor Martinez among backstops last year. A rebound in
batting average with comparable power numbers can be expected
this season making McCann a great value pick near the end of top
echelon catchers.
Proven veteran Jorge Posada claims the number five slot in this
years ranking and I selected him at pick 100 in our mock draft.
Posada had arguably the best season of his career last year when
he hit .338, with 20 home runs, 91 runs scored, 90 runs batted
in, and 2 stolen bases. Last years .338 batting average absolutely
annulated Posada’s previous career high of .287 all the
way back in the 2000 season. A drop off is sure to be expected
from Posada, but he’s still one of the more solid picks
at the position.
While Kenji Johjima is a near consensus pick as the sixth best
catcher it is easy to see the value of the top five compared to
the rest of the field. In RotoKingdom’s mock draft, all
five of the previously mentioned backstops were drafted in the
first 100 picks of our mock. Whereas Johjima was not selected
until the 14th round at pick 163. Staff moderator Kegan Mercadante
drafted him there as he thought "Johjima was the best available
player" left on the draft board and didn't want to get stuck
later with one of the other options at catcher. The Seattle backstop
is the last of the catchers worth at least a mid round selection
in a normal sized league.
After Johjima things become very cloudy at the catcher position
and you can afford to wait to select a favorite from the rest
of the field. To give an indication, the number seven rated catcher
on RotoKingdom’s rankings Ivan Rodriguez was not even chosen
until the final pick of our mock draft. My projections for Pudge
are a .283 batting average, 63 runs scored, 12 home runs, 59 runs
batted in, and 5 stolen bases. Rodriguez was an excellent value
pick as a starter taken where most drafters were filling out their
bench and selecting role players for their teams.
So who are some of the promising youngsters that might help close
this gap? Well my personal favorite of the new kids on the block
is J.R. Towles who should win the starting backstop position with
Houston this season. At a position not known for it’s longevity
because of the daily wear on the knees Brad Ausmus is approaching
“over the hill” status as he turns 39 this April and
is the waning stages of a solid career. Towles broke into the
majors in August of last year and finished with an impressive
line tallying 9 runs scored, a home run, and 12 runs batted in
while amassing a .375 batting average in just 40 at bats. Look
for Towles to be one of the top backstop sleepers this year, but
at the same time don’t overpay for the young catcher as
he could still share some time with Ausmus.
Geovany Soto is one of my colleagues’ favorites receiving
3 top ten votes among our staff experts. Soto had a huge year
in 2007 hitting .358 between AAA and the majors with 29 home runs,
and 117 RBIs in 439 at bats. Soto boasts a .325 major league average
in 80 at bats, but that is still a small sampling. My biggest
concern is that Soto only has a .279 career batting average in
the minors so that could lead to a year of growing pains before
blowing up in 2009. By comparison Towles hit .300 in the minors
so he is a safer pick despite not having the gaudy numbers that
Soto had this past season.
So what happens if I don’t land one of the top six catchers
and someone else has already grabbed the young phenoms with great
upside? At this point I recommend using a category killer strategy.
Evaluate whom you have on your team. What are the strengths and
weaknesses of the team? Maybe your team is weak on batting average.
Take a flier on Josh Bard or Ronny Paulino. Need a power hitter?
Try David Ross or Mike Napoli on for size. While you won’t
think of speed as something you can find at the catcher position
Jason Kendall and Gerald Laird are both guys that have the potential
to net more than 65 runs scored and steal 5-10 bases. Considering
many of the lower tiered catchers will have fewer runs scored
and won’t steal a single base that could gain you a point
or two in your season standings or make the difference in a given
week for a head to head match up.
For those of you in the normal sized leagues please remember
these three things:
1. Five catchers stand above the rest, but don’t waste
a first or second round pick on them.
2. If you want Kenji Jojima or another second group catcher wait.
Please be patient and try not to panic so you don't waste a value
pick. After 150 or so players have been drafted feel free to grab
a second group player if you really like someone. However, keep
in mind you can still get the same value in the waning rounds
of the draft.
3. Finally, remember that if you miss out on all the catchers
you wanted take a look at your team needs. If you know your team
is week in a particular area consider taking a category killer
opposed to the best available player.
Well, we hope you liked this year’s preview of the catchers.
For all of your baseball questions, comments, and concerns please
visit our baseball forums, where some of the best fantasy baseball
minds in the business reside on a full-time basis.
- Jason Aufderhaar - RotoKingdom Staff Writer